Pool Probabilities

Welcome to Pool Probabilities

This site is devoted to analyzing the NCAA tournament using computer rankings, but a lot of sites do that. This site also analyzes the tournament pools themselves using probability analysis. Stay tuned to see how celebrities like Barack Obama are really performing in the tournament.


3/18/2014: Probabilties for the 2014 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament.

3/19/2014: How Good is Barack Obama at Bracketology?

3/21/2014: Colin Cowherd Favored Favorite to Win ESPN's Celebrity Pool

3/22/2014: After Round 1, Cowherd Retains the Lead while Stephen Curry Eliminated

3/24/2014: Why The ESPN Tournament Challenge Standings are Misleading

3/25/2014: You May Be Rooting for the Wrong Team

3/29/2014: Down to the Elite 8: ESPN Standings More Misleading than Ever

3/29/2014: Paths to Victory: Going Beyond Probabilities